INSA poll of 28 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Aug 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.3average 20.7
- Grüne +0.3average 14.2
- SPD -0.2average 18.2
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
- CDU/CSU ±0average 26.5
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- AfD152
- SPD130
- Grüne105
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.