INSA poll of 26 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,285
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- AfD21.0%+0.5
- SPD18.0%-0.5
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,285 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Aug 2023, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
- AfD +0.4average 20.6
- SPD -0.2average 18.2
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD144
- SPD123
- Grüne96
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.