INSA poll of 21 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- AfD20.5%-0.5
- SPD18.5%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 20.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Aug 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- SPD +0.4average 18.1
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 26.4
- AfD ±0average 20.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD140
- SPD126
- Grüne95
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.