INSA poll of 19 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 18 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.5
- Grüne14.0%+0.5
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 14 to 18 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Aug 2023, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 26.4
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- AfD +0.5average 20.5
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD142
- SPD122
- Grüne95
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.