INSA poll of 14 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD21.0%±0
- SPD19.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.5average 18.0
- Grüne -1.4average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD152
- SPD141
- Grüne98
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.