INSA poll of 12 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Aug 2023, Grüne loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 18.0
- Grüne -1.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD144
- SPD137
- Grüne89
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.