INSA poll of 7 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD20.5%-0.5
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne14.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Aug 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Aug 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- FDP +0.9average 6.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Grüne -0.3average 14.8
- Linke -0.2average 4.7
- AfD +0.1average 20.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD146
- SPD135
- Grüne103
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.