INSA poll of 6 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2023 to 4 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- AfD21.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2023 to 4 Aug 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- Grüne -0.8average 14.8
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 26.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD142
- SPD129
- Grüne95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne407 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.