INSA poll of 8 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.5
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.5
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 14.7
- AfD +0.4average 19.6
- SPD +0.4average 18.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- AfD138
- SPD132
- Grüne90
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.