INSA poll of 26 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- AfD20.5%+0.5
- SPD19.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 19.0
- Grüne -1.4average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 27.7
- SPD +0.7average 18.8
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
- FDP -0.2average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD150
- SPD142
- Grüne98
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.