INSA poll of 24 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 28.0
- Grüne -1.7average 14.7
- SPD +1.2average 18.8
- AfD +1.2average 18.8
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD147
- AfD147
- Grüne95
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne389 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.