INSA poll of 19 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.2
- AfD +1.4average 18.6
- Grüne -1.1average 14.6
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- FDP +0.6average 6.9
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- SPD144
- AfD144
- Grüne97
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.