INSA poll of 17 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 16 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 12 to 16 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 28.2
- FDP +1.1average 6.9
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- AfD +0.4average 18.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- SPD145
- AfD138
- Grüne94
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.