INSA poll of 12 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD19.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- AfD +1.5average 18.0
- Grüne -1.4average 14.4
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 19.1
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD144
- AfD140
- Grüne94
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD334 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.