INSA poll of 10 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,201
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,201 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jun 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- Grüne -1.4average 14.4
- AfD +1.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 19.1
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- AfD130
- Grüne89
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.