INSA poll of 5 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 2,009
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%-0.5
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,009 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 29.0
- AfD +2.0average 17.0
- FDP +1.9average 7.1
- Grüne -1.5average 15.0
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- SPD130
- AfD130
- Grüne92
- FDP62
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD442 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.