INSA poll of 3 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 May 2023 to 2 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.5
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 30 May 2023 to 2 Jun 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 May 2023, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 29.0
- AfD +2.0average 17.0
- Grüne -2.0average 15.0
- FDP +1.9average 7.1
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD130
- AfD130
- Grüne89
- FDP62
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD445 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.