INSA poll of 31 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 30 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- AfD18.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 26 to 30 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 May 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 15.3
- SPD +2.0average 18.5
- AfD +1.9average 16.1
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 29.2
- FDP +0.9average 7.6
- Linke -0.4average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD147
- AfD129
- Grüne93
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.