INSA poll of 27 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 May 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 15.3
- AfD +2.0average 16.0
- SPD +1.5average 18.5
- FDP +1.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 29.3
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD143
- AfD129
- Grüne93
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.