Single poll
INSA poll of 22 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 May 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.2average 18.3
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 29.4
- Grüne -1.6average 15.6
- AfD +1.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.8average 7.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- SPD140
- AfD116
- Grüne95
- FDP58
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke316 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 20 May 2023INSA, 27 May 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.