INSA poll of 20 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 19 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,195
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,195 people were surveyed from 15 to 19 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 May 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.7 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.7average 18.3
- Grüne -1.6average 15.6
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.4
- AfD +1.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD142
- AfD115
- Grüne95
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.