INSA poll of 14 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 May 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.7average 7.3
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 29.5
- SPD +1.3average 18.7
- Grüne -0.9average 15.9
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD143
- AfD115
- Grüne107
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.