INSA poll of 8 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD16.5%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 May 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 15.9
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 29.7
- FDP +1.7average 7.3
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- AfD +0.8average 15.7
- Linke ±0average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD144
- AfD119
- Grüne101
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.