INSA poll of 6 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%-0.5
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 15.9
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 29.7
- FDP +1.7average 7.3
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- AfD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD145
- AfD116
- Grüne101
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne362 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.