INSA poll of 2 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD16.5%+0.5
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 29.6
- SPD +1.8average 19.2
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- AfD +0.9average 15.6
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- Linke +0.1average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD151
- AfD119
- Grüne108
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne421 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.