INSA poll of 30 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Apr 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 16.1
- SPD +1.7average 19.3
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 29.6
- FDP +0.8average 7.2
- AfD +0.6average 15.4
- Linke +0.6average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD144
- AfD109
- Grüne96
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.