INSA poll of 24 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.5%-0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.2 points higher and Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.2average 6.8
- Grüne -2.1average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 29.3
- AfD +0.9average 15.1
- SPD +0.2average 19.8
- Linke +0.2average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD145
- AfD116
- Grüne105
- FDP65
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne366 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.