INSA poll of 23 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Apr 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.2average 6.8
- Grüne -1.6average 16.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 29.3
- AfD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke -0.3average 4.3
- SPD +0.2average 19.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD143
- AfD115
- Grüne107
- FDP64
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne365 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.