INSA poll of 17 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 29.1
- Grüne -1.6average 16.6
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 20.1
- Linke ±0average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- SPD151
- AfD115
- Grüne108
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne421 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP364 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP324 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.