INSA poll of 9 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others8.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Apr 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- Grüne -0.7average 16.7
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- SPD +0.1average 19.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD143
- Grüne115
- AfD115
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD430 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.