INSA poll of 11 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 11 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 6 to 11 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 29.2
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- Grüne -1.2average 16.7
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.1average 19.9
- Linke ±0average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD145
- AfD116
- Grüne112
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP373 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.