INSA poll of 3 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 31 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 16.9
- AfD +1.1average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 28.7
- FDP +0.7average 6.8
- SPD +0.3average 19.7
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD145
- AfD116
- Grüne112
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.