INSA poll of 1 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%+0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Mar 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- SPD +1.3average 19.7
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- AfD +1.1average 14.9
- Grüne -0.9average 16.9
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- SPD150
- Grüne115
- AfD115
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD423 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.