INSA poll of 27 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.5%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.4average 6.6
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- Grüne -1.0average 17.0
- AfD +0.7average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.6
- SPD +0.6average 19.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD147
- Grüne115
- AfD111
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD426 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.