INSA poll of 26 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.7average 6.3
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 29.2
- SPD +1.1average 19.9
- Grüne -1.1average 17.1
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- AfD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- SPD150
- Grüne115
- AfD107
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne316 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.