INSA poll of 20 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD21.5%+0.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 16.9
- SPD +1.2average 20.3
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- FDP +1.1average 6.4
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- SPD146
- AfD108
- Grüne102
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne399 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.