INSA poll of 19 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- SPD21.0%-0.5
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-0.5
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2023, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 16.9
- FDP +1.6average 6.4
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.1
- SPD +0.7average 20.3
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD142
- AfD108
- Grüne102
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.