INSA poll of 13 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%-0.5
- SPD21.5%+0.5
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by SPD on 21.5%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 14.4
- Grüne -1.6average 17.1
- FDP +1.3average 6.2
- SPD +1.2average 20.3
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 29.6
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU202
- SPD152
- AfD113
- Grüne110
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne425 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.