INSA poll of 12 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,268
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-0.5
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,268 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Mar 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 17.1
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- FDP +0.8average 6.2
- SPD +0.7average 20.3
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 29.6
- AfD +0.6average 14.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD150
- Grüne115
- AfD107
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.