INSA poll of 7 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Mar 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Mar 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 16.8
- FDP +1.3average 6.2
- AfD +0.8average 14.7
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 29.2
- SPD -0.3average 20.3
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD135
- Grüne105
- AfD105
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.