INSA poll of 5 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Feb 2023 to 3 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2023 to 3 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 29.2
- Grüne -0.8average 16.8
- FDP +0.8average 6.2
- SPD -0.3average 20.3
- AfD +0.3average 14.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD136
- Grüne108
- AfD102
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.