INSA poll of 27 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%+0.5
- SPD20.5%-0.5
- Grüne15.5%-0.5
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 28.3
- FDP +1.1average 6.4
- AfD +0.7average 14.8
- Linke -0.3average 4.8
- SPD +0.1average 20.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD146
- Grüne111
- AfD110
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.