INSA poll of 26 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD21.0%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%+0.5
- AfD15.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 17.1
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 28.3
- SPD +0.6average 20.4
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- AfD +0.2average 14.8
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD142
- Grüne108
- AfD102
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.