INSA poll of 13 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP7.5%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Feb 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 17.7
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- FDP +0.8average 6.7
- SPD -0.7average 20.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- SPD136
- Grüne109
- AfD109
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD409 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.