INSA poll of 19 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 27.7
- Grüne -1.3average 17.3
- AfD +1.3average 14.7
- SPD +0.4average 20.6
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD141
- Grüne107
- AfD107
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD408 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.