INSA poll of 12 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,457
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,457 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 17.7
- FDP +1.3average 6.7
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- SPD -0.7average 20.7
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD136
- Grüne108
- AfD108
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.