INSA poll of 6 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.5%+0.5
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Feb 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- AfD +0.9average 14.6
- SPD +0.7average 20.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- SPD143
- Grüne109
- AfD106
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD399 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.