INSA poll of 5 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2023 to 3 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,462
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-0.5
- SPD21.0%+0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,462 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2023 to 3 Feb 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
- SPD +0.7average 20.3
- AfD +0.4average 14.6
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- SPD142
- Grüne108
- AfD102
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.