INSA poll of 30 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.5%-0.5
- SPD20.5%+0.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 2,007 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Jan 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.7
- FDP +0.8average 6.7
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- SPD +0.4average 20.1
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD140
- Grüne109
- AfD102
- FDP51
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD405 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.