INSA poll of 28 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- Grüne16.0%-0.5
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-0.5
- Linke5.0%+0.5
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 18.2
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 27.7
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- SPD -0.1average 20.1
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- SPD137
- Grüne110
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.